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An Advertising Slot Machine? |
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Source:
SVM Mac Magazine, France, December
2006, Page 38
The good thing about being an
author is that it gives you the
opportunity of meeting all kinds of
people who have many interesting
things to tell. Whenever you cover a
subject the interviewees may come up
with a totally unexpected story,
more than once even more interesting
than the central subject.
I had this experience recently and
what it follows looked really
suitable for this chronicle. Mario
Fantoni, a marketing man, offers an
apparently revolutionary system that
allows optimizing advertising
- the Taguchi Method. This Italo-American
businessman had a really curious
experience with AdWords, that
consists of, as you
probably know, the commercial ad
strips placed on the right of the
search results page of Google.
Fantoni was paying for the keywords
related to his industry and started to see that he was requested
more and more money month after
month. "I paid one dollar to be
on the first position, however, on
the following week, I was on the
second position." Soon after he
discovered he had to pay even more
to be on the top, almost five times
more than at the beginning.
Surprised, he started to test the
system deeply. Then he realized that
no matter what he did his position
would be changing all the time. "I
had never seen this before…"
By curiosity, Fantoni gathered a lot
of information and gave it to Dr.
Taguchi, creator of the mathematical
method named after him.
After some days this engineer
reached an astonishing verdict:
according to him, Google was using
the famous theory of games of John
Forbes Nash Jr., Noble Prize in
Economics in1994. This theory refers
to the search of an equilibrium
point. If a gambling house gives a
lot of money to its players, it will
end up losing lots of it. If, on the
other hand, does not give away
enough, people will stop betting
money. Nash equation would help
meeting the famous equilibrium
point.
In order to know more, Fantoni
decided to visit another specialist
in games theory in Florida and
presented the same numbers to him,
not explaining what the thing was
about. After three days, the
specialist gave Fantoni an answer: "This
is a casino!"
Chance or coincidence? In any case,
at Google we can justify such order
fluctuation in a more pragmatic way
that invokes two criteria:
1) The price one is willing to pay
at an exact moment. As it deals with
bids, the best bid may vary at any
minute.
2) The "pertinence." As a Google
representative explained to Fantoni:
"Because your competitors
have more
clicks than you do, we have lowered
your position." How does this
explains the second position? Due to
the fact that the algorithm used by
Google for both the results of its
search mechanism and for the AdWords
positioning is based in popularity.
It rewards with the first position
those who have more links, more
notoriety.
Fantoni came to the conclusion that
the system works out according to a
basic rule: It maximizes Google
profits according to a method that
would not be different than the one used
by the lotteries and gambling
places.
I reminded Fantoni that Google had a
motto: "Don't do evil", and he
answered, in an
Italian way: "C'mon….what kind of
evil would you do to people with a
search engine?"
Daniel Ichbiah
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